Lowell's Locks Week Seven

Clemson Sports Talk

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It’s how you bounce back! A 4-2 week puts our locks right back on track heading into the midseason point, and this has the makings of a sneaky fun college football weekend. Let’s dive right into it. 

Saturday, October 14th

#8 Oregon at #7 Washington (-2.5):

This is as big of a coinflip game as any I’ve had to pick this season. Oregon is second in total offense second in scoring offense. Washington is first in total offense, and third in scoring offense. Oregon has the advantage on the ground (eighth), but Washington has it through the air (first). Both teams have been equally impressive and dominant but give the edge to Washington at home. 

Lowell’s Lock: Washington covers -2.5

Texas A&M at #19 Tennessee (-3)

It’s hard to trust the Aggies on offense. They don’t run the ball well, and quarterback Max Johnson didn’t quite have what they needed through the air against Alabama. They also aren’t great at protecting the quarterback, sitting at 80^th on the season, and the Vols are first in the nation in sacks. Tennessee extends their home winning streak to 12 games.

Lowell’s Lock: Tennessee covers -3

Auburn at #22 LSU (-11.5):

How many weeks in a row can LSU keep doing this? The Bayou Bengals have to be exhausted on the offensive side of the ball, as they need to score anytime they touch it. This could turn into a lower-scoring game than one might think, as Auburn is top-20 in the nation in rushing offense, and LSU is 95^th in rushing defense. Expect Auburn to take the air out of the ball and keep Jayden Daniels and this LSU offense on the sideline as much as possible to keep things tight.

Lowell’s Lock: Auburn covers +11.5

#10 USC at #21 Notre Dame (-2.5):

You could apply the same logic I applied to Auburn and LSU to this game, but I think the difference here is USC has Caleb Williams. Notre Dame will do their best to take the air out of the ball, but all it will take is one or two stops for USC to take control of this game in the second half with some quick strikes.

Lowell’s Lock: USC covers +2.5

#25 Miami at #12 North Carolina (-2.5):

I like Miami here. After last week’s devastating and unnecessary fumble to blow the game against Georgia Tech, I like Miami to play with an edge, especially defensively. Drake Maye has been hot this season, but this will be the best defensive line they’ve faced thus far. The Hurricanes should also move the ball pretty well against a below-average UNC defense. 

Lowell’s Locks: Miami covers +2.5

Florida at South Carolina (-2):

Florida on the road has resulted in just one win so far for head coach Billy Napier. The Gators have been solid defensively this season but have sometimes given up the big play through the air. South Carolina has plenty of ability in that department with Spencer Rattler and Xavier Leggett. Florida has a shot to win at the end, but the crowd helps the defense deny Napier a second road win in his tenure. 

Lowell’s Lock: South Carolina covers -2

Until next week, folks.