Weekly Basketball March Madness Resume Check
After failing to close the deal in Tallahassee, Clemson stands 20-5 overall and 9-4 in the ACC. Adding injury to insult, the Tigers could be looking at a stretch without guard Shelton Mitchell, who suffered an apparent head injury in the closing moments Wednesday and is currently going through concussion protocol.
Next up is a Sunday tilt in the friendly confines of Littlejohn Coliseum with a 21-5 Duke team (9-4 in ACC) that sits 5th in the RPI.
Clemson's current resume for the NCAA tournament is below we'll track the Tigers resume for the remainder of the season.
In addition, for a more complete picture, we've added the odds for success during March Madness and win probabilities for the Tigers remaining regular season games (via ESPN).
Current and Historical Resume
| As of | Record | Conf Record | vs, Top 50 | RPI | BPI | SOR | SOS | Non-Conf Schedule | Projected Seed |
| 2/16 | 20-5 | 9-4 | 7-3 | 6 | 16 | 10 | 34 | 162 | 3* |
| 2/9 | 20-4 | 9-3 | 7-2 | 4 | 18 | 6 | 42 | 143 | 2* |
| 2/2 | 18-4 | 7-3 | 7-2 | 5 | 18 | 9 | 23 | 155 | 3* |
| 1/26 | 16-4 | 5-3 | 6-2 | 6 | 17 | 11 | 23 | 138 | 3* |
vs. Top 50: Record vs. current top 50 ESPN BPI teams.
RPI: Team's rank in official NCAA Ratings Percentage Index (RPI).
BPI: Rank in the ESPN Basketball Power Index (BPI) among all Division I teams.
SOR: Rank of Strength of Record (SOR) among all Division I teams. SOR reflects the chance a typical 25th ranked team would have team's record or better, given the schedule on a 0 to 100 scale, where 100 is best.
SOS: Strength of Schedule (SOS) rank among all Division I teams based on how a typical 25th ranked team would do against each team's schedule to date. SOS accounts for the game location, day's rest, travel distance, and high altitude in addition to opponent strength.
Non-Conf Schedule: Non-Conference Schedule Rank.
*Projected Seed: Seed projected by ESPN College Basketball Power Index. Joe Lunardi currently projects Clemson as a #3 seed in the Mid-West Regional in Dallas facing Charleston in the latest edition of Bracketology.
Tournament Odds
The resume looks good, the Tigers are playing well and look to be a lock for the Big Dance. So what are the odds once they get there? Per ESPN (based on Joe Lunardi's bracketology) here are Clemson's odds:
| Make Sweet 16 | Make Final Four | Win Tournament |
| 44.6% | 10.4% | 1.3% |
| 1 in 2.2 | 1 in 9.6 | 1 in 76.9 |
Win Probabilities for Remaining Games
ESPN has assigned the following win probabilities to Clemson's remaining regular season games:
| Date | Opponent | Location | Win Probability |
| 2/18 | Duke | Clemson | 39.8 |
| 2/21 | Virginia Tech | Blacksburg, Va | 47.5 |
| 2/24 | Georgia Tech | Clemson | 93.3 |
| 2/28 | Florida State | Clemson | 73.3 |
| 3/3 | Syracuse | Syracuse, NY | 56.3 |
In case you are wondering, Clemson's best seeding in the NCAA Tournament came in 1987 and 1997 when they entered as a #4 seed.
The 1987 team was eliminated in the opening round by Southwest Missouri State 65-60. The 1997 team made a run into the Sweet Sixteen before #1 seed Minnesota knocked off the Tigers 90-84 in double overtime.
