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Clemson Basketball

Weekly Clemson Basketball Resume Check

March 3, 2018
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Since our last resume check Clemson has gone 2-0 and righted the ship with the return of Shelton Mitchell, which has helped Gabe DeVoe return to his previous form and put the Tigers squarely in the mix for a top 4 seed in the ACC Tournament and a solid bid in the NCAA Tournament.

Clemson's current resume for the NCAA tournament is below and, for a more complete picture,  we've included the odds for success during March Madness and win probabilities for the Tigers remaining regular season game (via ESPN).

Current Resume

As of Record Conf Record vs, Top 50 RPI SOS  Non-Conf Schedule  Projected Seed
3/2 22-7 11-6 7-6 8 16 58 5*

vs. Top 50: Record vs. current top 50 RPI teams.

RPI: Team's rank in official NCAA Ratings Percentage Index (RPI). 

SOS:  Strength of schedule.

Non-Conf Schedule: Non-Conference Schedule Rank.

*Projected Seed: ESPN College Basketball Power Index projects Clemson as a 3 seed, however as of March 1 Joe Lunardi projects Clemson as a #5 seed in the East Regional in Dallas facing Loyola-Chicago in the latest edition of Bracketology.

Tournament Odds

While the resume has lost a bit of shine, the Tigers will be dancing and it's just a matter of where and at what seed. 

What are the odds once they start dancing?  Per ESPN (based on Joe Lunardi's bracketology) here are Clemson's odds:

Make Sweet 16 Make Final Four Win Tournament
36.4% 4.1% 0.6%
1 in 2.7 1 in 24.4 1 in 166.7

 

Win Probabilities for Remaining Game

ESPN has assigned the following win probabilities to Clemson's remaining regular season game at Syracuse on Saturday:

Date Opponent Location Win Probability
3/3 Syracuse Syracuse 50.4

In case you are wondering, Clemson's best seeding in the NCAA Tournament came in 1987 and 1997 when they entered as a #4 seed.

The 1987 team was eliminated in the opening round by Southwest Missouri State 65-60. The 1997 team made a run into the Sweet Sixteen before #1 seed Minnesota knocked off the Tigers 90-84 in double overtime.

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