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Clemson Basketball

Clemson - Auburn Win Probabilities & Tournament Odds for Tigers

March 18, 2018
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***NOTE: On a mobile device, this article is best viewed in landscape due to the wide tables.***

Clemson will face Auburn in San Diego at 7:10 p.m. EST Sunday for a chance to play in the Sweet 16. 

How do the Tigers from Clemson stack up against the Tigers from the Plains and what are the odds that Clemson can advance through the tourney?

Probabilities:

Sweet 16 Elite 8 Final Four Make Final Champion
51.5% 16.6% 4.0% 0.9% 0.3%

ESPN is giving Clemson a 51.5% chance of defeating Auburn this evening. Prior to the tournament, the Tigers were given a 40.5% chance of winning two games to advance to the Sweet 16.

Over on warrennolan.com there are two different predictive methods with two different outcomes:

Type Winner Probability Score
Resid Auburn 58% 75-73
ELO Clemson  61% 74-73

 

ESPN assigns a 0.4 point differential between the teams, while warrennolan.com predicts a 2 point game in Auburn's favor or a one point Clemson win depending on the method used. 

Clemson’s NCAA Tournament History:

Year Seed Round Opponent Result
1980 #6

First Round
Second Round
Sweet Sixteen
Elite Eight

#11 Utah State
#3 BYU
#10 Lamar
#8 UCLA

W 76–73
W 71–66
W 74–66
L 74–85

1987 #4

First Round

#13 SW Missouri State

L 60–65

1989 #9

First Round
Second Round

#8 Saint Mary's
#1 Arizona

W 83–70
L 68–94

1990 #5

First Round
Second Round
Sweet Sixteen

#12 BYU
#4 La Salle
#1 Connecticut

W 49–47
W 79–75
L 70–71

1996 #9

First Round

#8 Georgia

L 74–81

1997 #4

First Round
Second Round
Sweet Sixteen

#13 Miami (OH)
#5 Tulsa
#1 Minnesota

W 68–56
W 65–59
L 84–90 (2 OT)

1998 #6

First Round

#11 Western Michigan

L 72–75

2008 #5

First Round

#12 Villanova

L 69–75

2009 #7

First Round

#10 Michigan

L 59–62

2010 #7

First Round

#10 Missouri

L 78–86

2011 #12

First Four
First Round

#12 UAB
#5 West Virginia

W 70–52
L 76–84

2018 #5

First Round
Second Round

#12 New Mexico State
#4 Auburn

W 79–68
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