Story Poster
Photo by © Orlando Ramirez-USA TODAY Sports
Clemson Basketball

Clemson - Kansas Win Probabilities & Tournament Odds for Tigers

March 22, 2018
2,778

***NOTE: On a mobile device, this article is best viewed in landscape due to the wide tables.***

Clemson will face Kansas at 7:07 p.m. EST Friday with a trip to the Elite 8 hanging in the balance. 

How do the Tigers stack up against the Jayhawks and what are the odds that Clemson can survive and advance through the tourney?

Probabilities:

Elite 8 Final Four Make Final Champion
35.4% 10.2% 2.4% 1.3%

ESPN is giving Clemson a 35.4% chance of defeating Kansas and be one of the last 8 standing.

Prior to the tournament the Tigers were given a 40.5% chance of winning two games to advance to the Sweet 16 and they've already defied those odds.

Over on warrennolan.com there are two different predictive methods and both favor Kansas:

Type Winner Probability Score
Resid Kansas 61% 73-70
ELO Kansas  98% 76-65

 

ESPN assigns a 3.8 point differential between the teams, while warrennolan.com predicts a 3 point game in Kansas' favor using Resid and 11 point win using ELO. 

Clemson’s NCAA Tournament History:

Year Seed Round Opponent Result
1980 #6

First Round
Second Round
Sweet Sixteen
Elite Eight

#11 Utah State
#3 BYU
#10 Lamar
#8 UCLA

W 76–73
W 71–66
W 74–66
L 74–85

1987 #4

First Round

#13 SW Missouri State

L 60–65

1989 #9

First Round
Second Round

#8 Saint Mary's
#1 Arizona

W 83–70
L 68–94

1990 #5

First Round
Second Round
Sweet Sixteen

#12 BYU
#4 La Salle
#1 Connecticut

W 49–47
W 79–75
L 70–71

1996 #9

First Round

#8 Georgia

L 74–81

1997 #4

First Round
Second Round
Sweet Sixteen

#13 Miami (OH)
#5 Tulsa
#1 Minnesota

W 68–56
W 65–59
L 84–90 (2 OT)

1998 #6

First Round

#11 Western Michigan

L 72–75

2008 #5

First Round

#12 Villanova

L 69–75

2009 #7

First Round

#10 Michigan

L 59–62

2010 #7

First Round

#10 Missouri

L 78–86

2011 #12

First Four
First Round

#12 UAB
#5 West Virginia

W 70–52
L 76–84

2018 #5

First Round
Second Round
Sweet 16

#12 New Mexico State
#4 Auburn
#1 Kansas

W 79–68
W 84-53
??-??

×
subscribe Verify your student status
See Subscription Benefits
Trial only available to users who have never subscribed or participated in a previous trial.